MLB Draft Lottery odds: Rockies, Marlins have best shot at top pick
Major League Baseball’s 2025 Draft Lottery is set for Dec. 10 at the Winter Meetings in Dallas, with the Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins having the best odds to land the No. 1 overall pick in the July draft.
Colorado and Miami each have a 22.45% chance to end up with the top selection, with the Los Angeles Angels (17.96%) and Washington Nationals (10.2%) the only other clubs with odds better than 10%.
The lottery assigns the top six picks in the draft before the seventh selection is decided by the original odds.
Despite finishing with the worst record in baseball history (41-121), the Chicago White Sox aren’t eligible for the 2025 lottery as a team that pays into revenue sharing and received a lottery pick last year. The Athletics are also ineligible as they receive revenue sharing and can’t have lottery picks in three consecutive drafts. Chicago can select no earlier than 10th and the A’s no earlier than 11th overall.
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Here’s what to know for the 2025 Draft Lottery:
2025 MLB Draft Lottery Odds
Percentage odds to win No. 1 overall pick
Colorado Rockies: 22.45%
Miami Marlins: 22.45%
Los Angeles Angels: 17.96%
Washington Nationals: 10.2%
Toronto Blue Jays: 7.48%
Pittsburgh Pirates: 5.31%
Cincinnati Reds: 3.67%
Texas Rangers: 2.45%
San Francisco Giants: 1.9%
Tampa Bay Rays: 1.5%
Boston Red Sox: 1.22%
Minnesota Twins: 1.09%
St. Louis Cardinals: 0.82%
Chicago Cubs: 0.68%
Seattle Mariners: 0.53%
Arizona Diamondbacks: 0.27%
Ineligible: White Sox, Athletics
MLB Draft Lottery date
MLB’s 2024 Draft Lottery will be held on Tuesday, Dec. 10 at the Winter Meetings in Dallas, beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET. The event will be carried live on MLB Network and streamed on MLB.com
When is the 2025 MLB Draft?
Major League Baseball’s 2025 draft begins on July 13 in Atlanta as part of the MLB All-Star Game festivities.
2025 MLB Draft order
Baseball’s 12 postseason teams already know where they’ll be selecting in the first round of the 2025 draft.
19. Orioles
20. Brewers
21. Astros
22. Braves
23. Royals
24. Tigers
25. Padres
26. Phillies
27. Guardians
28. Mets
29. Yankees
30. Dodgers
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